Notes

A clear way into the questions.

Explain a concept, explore an example or read an argument. Notes brings together the explanations, interactive work and writing without replacing their individual pages or source records.

Explain

Three concepts, without the prerequisite vocabulary

Each explanation begins with a question and a concrete example.

Why can history change behaviour?

Why the latest response is not the whole interaction, and earlier actions can change what happens next.

Why history matters
All conceptual explanations

Explore

Work through a result or change an example

Interactive arithmetic, statistical explanations and illustrative experimental designs offer different ways to examine the work.

Erdős 364: the 17/41 result

Can three consecutive positive integers all be powerful? Paper I gives a public partial result in a stated shifted-square/Lucas-sequence setting. Erdős 364 remains open. Choose the explanation, the visual story or the source.

Read

Paper I, explained interactively

Follow the argument with exact arithmetic you can change, then choose the theorem, proof or workflow route.

Explore the interactive explanation

Watch

One candidate, several angles

A 73-second animation of the 17/41 obstruction, with an eight-section static storyboard. A visual explanation, not an additional proof.

Watch the Paper I animation

Verify

Paper I article and source

The public mathematical paper and release, v1.0.0, with hypotheses, exact verifier, replay checks and Lean sources. Self-published, not asserted peer-reviewed.

Inspect the public release

AI behaviour and statistics

When does a warning help?

Timely, false, missed and unavailable warnings. Scripted CARF illustrations explain the distinctions; they are not measurements of an AI system.

Explore warning examples

Design a controlled comparison

Change factors and controls in the CARF design explorer. An illustrative design, not a frozen protocol or completed experiment.

Open the design explorer

What does coverage mean?

See how repeated-sampling coverage depends on the design and method, then inspect the ExactCIs software.

Explore the coverage explanation

Read

Arguments, guides and public papers

Read the longer account, with its evidence and limitations. Online publication alone does not imply peer review.

Safety Is Retrospective

A public article / position paper on historical safety failures and the limits of retrospective assurance.

Read Safety Is Retrospective

Essays and notes

Longer arguments published on Overdog first, with any syndicated versions identified alongside them.

Browse published writing

The Paper I illustrated guide

A long-form companion to the mathematical result, for reading the story rather than operating the interactive example.

Read the illustrated guide